Capital and risk-weighted assets
Table of contents / search
Table of contents
Executive summary
Introduction
Macroeconomic environment and market sentiment
Asset side
Liabilities: funding and liquidity
Capital and risk-weighted assets
Profitability
Operational risks and resilience
Deep dive on selected liquidity related considerations
Policy conclusions and suggested measures
Annex: Sample of banks
Abbreviations and acronyms
List of figures
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Capital ratios have remained at record levels. The total capital ratio reached 20.2% as of YE 2024, which is a YoY increase of 14 bps. This was primarily driven by the Tier 1 and Tier 2 components, which rose in the last year by 10 bps and 6 bps respectively. Tier 1 stood at close to 1.5% and Tier 2 at 2.6% of total RWA. The CET1 ratio, on the other hand, remained broadly stable and close to its record level, at 16.1% in Q4 2024 (Figure 45).
Source: EBA supervisory reporting data
Overall, the volume of CET1 capital rose by around EUR 70bn (or 5%) in 2024, from around EUR 1.5 tn in Q4 2023 to around EUR 1.6 tn as of Q4 2024. The increase in CET1 capital was mainly due to rising retained earnings and other reserves, which increased by 6% and 8% respectively (Figure 46).
Source: EBA supervisory reporting data
Total RWAs increased by around EUR 460 bn (or 5%) in 2024 to around EUR 10 tn in Q4 2024. By type of risk, credit risk was the main driver, with an increase of EUR 403 bn (5%) in 2024. Operational risk also added EUR 81bn to the RWA total in 2024, representing an increase of 8%. Market risk remained almost unchanged and credit valuation adjustment (CVA) risk declined by 11% in 2024 (Figure 47).
Source: EBA supervisory reporting data
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High capital buffers and profits enable high payouts
EU/EEA banks’ CET1 headroom above overall capital requirement (OCR) – which consist of Pillar 1, Pillar 2 and the combined buffer requirements (CBR) – and Pillar 2 Guidance (P2G), has remained at comfortable levels. The headroom declined slightly YoY, from nearly 500 bps in Q4 2023 to around 470 bps in Q4 2024. The decline is mainly the result of higher OCR plus P2G. The rise in the OCR was primarily due to an increase in the countercyclical buffer (CCyB) component, which rose by 19 bps in the last year (Figure 49).
Source: EBA supervisory reporting data
A bank-by-bank analysis covering 94 banks[44] shows a relatively big dispersion of the available CET1 headroom, but also confirms that most banks operate with a comfortable headroom of CET1 ratios above capital requirements, ranging from 1.4% to 16.9% of total RWA. Data indicate that there is no link between banks’ capital headroom and their approach to payouts (dividends plus share buy-backs), i.e. the payout ratios do not seem to be lower for banks with lower capital headroom, for example (Figure 50).
Source: EBA Supervisory Reporting data
On the back of on average solid capital headroom and high profitability, banks’ dividend payouts and share buy-backs (together referred to as ‘payouts’) continued to increase and reached EUR 92 bn in 2024, representing a payout ratio of 51% of YE 2023 profits. Payouts do not seem to be constrained by capital requirements as all banks in the sample reported CET1 ratios above OCR&P2G (see Figure 50). Compared to 2023, payouts were 35% higher (vis-à-vis a 32% rise in net profits in 2023) but in relation to YE profits, payout ratios remained almost unchanged. Banks’ actual payouts in 2024 exceeded payout targets that the banks set themselves at the beginning of the year (EUR 86 bn). The plans for 2025 indicate a further rise in payouts, with a combined target of EUR 107 bn, or 55% of YE 2024 profits (Figure 51).
Source: EBA Supervisory Reporting data
Looking forward, a cautious stance in respect of payouts seems warranted. Record payout plans for 2025 coincide with lower economic projections for 2025, an uncertain geopolitical environment (see Chapter on Macroeconomic environment and market sentiment) and lower asset quality (see Chapter on Asset side). Case-by-case assessments of banks’ payouts will remain an important element for supervisory authorities.
Exposure volume and risk weight of banks’ credit portfolio on the rise
Banks’ credit exposure increased by 6% (EUR 1,550 bn) in 2024, on the back of lower central bank rates and increased demand for loans. The increase was notable across all exposure classes. Corporate exposures increased by 9% (EUR 650 bn) and mortgage exposures by 5% (EUR 270 bn)[45]. During the same period, RWA for banks’ credit portfolio increased by 10%. The increase in 2024 was driven by the two biggest exposure classes, namely +11% for corporate and +8% for mortgage exposures (Figure 52). This change last year represents an increase in the overall RW density of about 100 bps (from 27.7% in Q4 2023 to 28.7% in Q4 2024). The increased risk weight is most pronounced for the corporate segment of banks’ credit portfolio (up 105 bps to 52.1% in Q4 2024). Mortgage exposures saw average risk-weights increase by 53 bps to 17.0% in Q4 2024. This represents an acceleration of the trend towards higher RW density that has been observed since 2021. For both exposure classes – corporate and mortgages, average risk-weights have returned to levels last seen in 2019.
Source: EBA supervisory reporting data
Source: EBA Supervisory Reporting data
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[41] 62 large EEA banks with valid data for the entire time series of 2005–2024. Equity defined as per accounting definition.
[42] MREL data source: MREL dashboard.
[44] The sample includes banks with a CET1 headroom of less than 20% of RWA and with payout ratios of between 1% and 100%.
[45] It must be noted that growth rates here cannot be fully reconciled with those of accounting data-based calculations, for example. This is, for instance, because portfolios/segments are differently defined in financial reporting (FINREP), which forms the basis for the analysis in Chapter on Asset: volume and composition, and in common prudential reporting (COREP), which forms the basis for the analysis in this chapter. Furthermore, the concept of the carrying amount of loans differs from the concept of exposure amount. The latter, for instance, also includes loan commitments after a certain weighting, etc.
[46] As it also includes other input and information for the analysis and calculations, the box on SRTs is based on Q2 2024 data in contrast to the other analysis and charts of this report.